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MORE U.S. HOMES HAVE OUTHOUSES THAN TIVOS
Analysts Mull Future Potential of PVR Ad-Zapping Technology
November 04, 2002
QwikFIND ID: AAO17C
NEW YORK (AdAge.com) -- Who will win the battle of TiVo vs. ReplayTV? The answer could be: None of the above. While TiVo and Replay users enthuse about their personal video recorders, sales figures
Tom Edwards, senior analyst at researcher NPDTechworld, questions the future of standalone PVRs. Yet as an embedded technology, the PVR could be on its way to mainstream adoption, with broad implications for TV and advertising. Mr. Edwards sees good potential building the technology into other devices, such as cable set-top boxes, TVs, DVDs and satellite receivers.
Cable and satellite There are signs of slowing
Outhouses vs. TiVos Another warning sign: Microsoft Corp.'s UltimateTV came within 200 units of TiVo in year-to-date retail sales through September, according to NPD. That came even though Microsoft in January disclosed it was exiting PVR hardware after it concluded the business model -- subsidizing manufacturers and relying on subscriptions for profits -- was not viable. It continues to develop PVR software while it looks for profitable ways to deploy the technology.
SonicBlue SonicBlue, which began life in 1989 as a maker of graphics-accelerator PC chips, morphed into a consumer-electronics company over the past few years by buying such brands as ReplayTV; Go-Video, a pioneer in dual-deck VCRs; and Rio, a pioneer in MP3 players.
Money-losers The stock of TiVo, meanwhile, is down 95% from 2000; its star has faded on Wall Street even as it's risen on Madison Avenue. TiVo has an appealing brand; it must prove whether it has an enduring business model -- and whether the brand in the end will matter.
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